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Fire Weather Forecast

Weather Information - Fire Weather Forecast

The following weather related information courtesy of Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia

IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Friday 16 November 2018

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 15 November 2018.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

District District FFDI District Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
King Island 7 Low-Moderate 100  
Furneaux Islands 7 Low-Moderate 100  
North West Coast 7 Low-Moderate 100  
Central North 7 Low-Moderate 100  
North East 7 Low-Moderate 100  
East Coast 8 Low-Moderate 100  
Midlands 7 Low-Moderate 100  
Upper Derwent Valley 8 Low-Moderate 100  
South East 8 Low-Moderate 100  
Central Plateau 5 Low-Moderate 100  
Western 5 Low-Moderate 100  

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.

Friday

Showers about the north, extending to remaining eastern and central areas with possible (10% chance) thunderstorms. Fine elsewhere until showers develop about the west coast late. Light winds tending southwest to northwesterly during the morning.

District Weather Elements
for Friday 16 November 2018

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 15 November 2018.

District TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
King Island 0 7 < 5 WSW 20 W 50 1900
Furneaux Islands 1 2 < 5 N 20 NW 40 2200
North West Coast 1 5 25 NW 25 WNW 40 2300
Central North 1 3 25 NW 30 NW 45 2400
North East 1 2 20 NNW 25 WNW 40 2400
East Coast 1 3 25 NW 25 WNW 40 2600
Midlands 1 3 30 NW 25 WNW 35 2500
Upper Derwent Valley 1 4 10 WNW 25 NW 40 2600
South East 1 4 10 WNW 30 NW 45 2400
Central Plateau 1 3 30 NW 30 WNW 45 2800
Western 0 4 < 5 NW 35 WNW 45 2400

Detailed District Forecast
for Friday 16 November 2018

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 15 November 2018.

  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
King Island F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 15 49 14 5 0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 14 37 11 6 0     0     0    
North West Coast F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 13 19 00 13 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Central North F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 13 23 11 6 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
North East F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 13 16 12 5 0     0     0    
East Coast F 8 0     0     0     0    
M 12 12 05 8 0     0     0    
Midlands F 7 0     0     0     0    
M 10 2 11 5 0     0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley F 8 0     0     0     0    
M 7 0     0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
South East F 8 0     0     0     0    
M 15 32 04 12 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Central Plateau F 5 0     0     0     0    
M 7 0     0     0     0    
Western F 5 0     0     0     0    
M 13 14 10 9 0     0     0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Friday 16 November 2018

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 15 November 2018.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
King Island King Island Airport 15 17 45 WSW 25 45 17 9 65 F         8
Furneaux Islands Flinders Island Airport 11 18 49 NNE 15 35 19 9 70 F         5
North West Coast Marrawah 15 15 51 WSW 25 45 15 8 60 F         5
Smithton Airport 16 17 39 W 20 35 17 8 60 F         7
Luncheon Hill 17 13 47 WSW 20 35 14 6 20 F         4
Devonport Airport 13 17 59 NNW 25 40 17 9 75 F         5
Sheffield 14 15 51 NNW 20 35 15 8 45 F         5
Central North Low Head 11 14 72 NNW 25 40 16 8 55 F         2
Launceston 12 18 45 NNW 30 45 19 9 80 F         9
Cressy 11 15 63 NNW 20 35 16 9 75 F         3
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
North East Scottsdale 12 15 55 NNW 20 35 16 7 35 F         3
Larapuna/Eddystone Point 14 18 56 NNE 35 55 18 10 100 F         7
East Coast St Helens 11 17 48 NNE 20 35 17 10 105 F         7
Fingal 13 17 36 NNW 15 35 17 10 105 F         9
Friendly Beaches 13 18 49 NE 30 50 18 10 125 F         8
Orford 11 17 45 NNW 20 30 17 7 85 F         5
Midlands Ross 16 17 45 NNW 20 45 17 9 70 F         7
Tunnack 13 15 44 W 15 40 15 8 55 F         5
Upper Derwent Valley Ouse 14 17 34 WSW 15 30 17 9 70 F         9
Bushy Park 15 17 34 SW 10 30 17 9 95 F         8
Moogara 15 14 41 WSW 10 35 13 10 100 F         6
Hollow Tree 14 16 36 WSW 15 25 16 9 90 F         8
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
South East Campania 13 17 39 SSW 15 30 17 10 105 F         8
Hobart Airport 13 17 45 S 25 40 17 10 105 F         8
Hobart 13 17 42 S 20 35 17 9 90 F         7
Kunanyi/Mount Wellington 15 7 70 SW 10 25 8 5 5 F         1
Taranna 11 16 48 WNW 20 35 17 10 100 F         6
Grove 16 16 34 SW 10 35 16 9 90 F         7
Geeveston 15 16 34 WNW 10 35 16 8 70 F         7
Southport 13 16 45 S 20 35 16 6 40 F         4
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Central Plateau Cradle Valley 14 11 50 WNW 15 30 11 6 10 F         3
Liawenee 13 11 50 NW 20 40 11 7 30 F         4
Lake St Clair 13 13 38 WNW 20 40 13 6 10 F         5
Butlers Gorge 13 13 44 WNW 15 35 13 6 15 F         4
Western Savage River 16 14 47 WSW 20 35 14 6 15 F         4
Strahan 15 15 48 W 25 45 15 6 10 F         4
Hazel Hill 13 13 51 W 20 40 13 6 15 F         3
Maydena 15 14 41 WSW 15 40 14 7 30 F         5
Scotts Peak 14 15 41 W 20 40 15 6 10 F         5
Warra 14 13 44 WNW 15 40 13 6 15 F         4

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.