IDT13130
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Monday 19 November 2018
Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Sunday 18 November 2018.
Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.
Summary
| District | District FFDI | District Rating | Percent Coverage | Fire Weather Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King Island | 13 | High | 54 | |
| Furneaux Islands | 9 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| North West Coast | 9 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| Central North | 12 | High | 15 | |
| North East | 8 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| East Coast | 13 | High | 23 | |
| Midlands | 19 | High | 85 | |
| Upper Derwent Valley | 27 | Very High | 23 | |
| South East | 22 | High | 79 | |
| Central Plateau | 13 | High | 14 | |
| Western | 13 | High | 39 |
* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.
* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.
Monday
Possible light showers about the northeast, sunny elsewhere. Warm north to northeasterly winds, locally fresh about the east and southeast coasts. Low RH inland and about parts of the west. Very High fire dangers about the Upper Derwent Valley, mainly due to high temperatures and low RH.
District Weather Elements
for Monday 19 November 2018
Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Sunday 18 November 2018.
| District | TAL | cHaines | Prob Rain >5mm | 1500m Wind (km/h) | 3000m Wind (km/h) | Mix Height (m) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King Island | 0 | 8 | 0 | N 35 | NW 30 | 900 |
| Furneaux Islands | 0 | 9 | 0 | NNE 15 | NNE 5 | 1400 |
| North West Coast | 0 | 9 | 0 | NNE 35 | N 25 | 1600 |
| Central North | 0 | 7 | 0 | NNE 25 | N 15 | 1900 |
| North East | 0 | 8 | < 5 | NNE 20 | N 15 | 1800 |
| East Coast | 0 | 7 | < 5 | NNW 25 | N 15 | 1900 |
| Midlands | 0 | 8 | 0 | N 30 | N 20 | 2300 |
| Upper Derwent Valley | 0 | 9 | 0 | N 25 | NNW 20 | 2700 |
| South East | 0 | 8 | 0 | N 25 | NNW 20 | 2100 |
| Central Plateau | 0 | 9 | < 5 | N 35 | N 20 | 2400 |
| Western | 0 | 9 | 0 | N 25 | NNW 25 | 2800 |
Detailed District Forecast
for Monday 19 November 2018
Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Sunday 18 November 2018.
| Fuel Type | Dist FDI | FFDI > 12 MFDI > 12 |
FFDI > 25 MFDI > 25 |
FFDI > 38 MFDI > 38 |
FFDI > 50 MFDI > 50 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | |||
| King Island | F | 13 | 54 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 25 | 100 | 00 | 24 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| Furneaux Islands | F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| M | 20 | 100 | 03 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| North West Coast | F | 9 | < 1 | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 25 | 82 | 00 | 24 | 11 | 09 | 10 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| Central North | F | 12 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 14 | 37 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Fuel Type | Dist FDI | FFDI > 12 MFDI > 12 |
FFDI > 25 MFDI > 25 |
FFDI > 38 MFDI > 38 |
FFDI > 50 MFDI > 50 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | |||
| North East | F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| M | 12 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| East Coast | F | 13 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 23 | 53 | 00 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| Midlands | F | 19 | 85 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| M | 17 | 88 | 11 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Upper Derwent Valley | F | 27 | 99 | 12 | 8 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| M | 15 | 82 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Fuel Type | Dist FDI | FFDI > 12 MFDI > 12 |
FFDI > 25 MFDI > 25 |
FFDI > 38 MFDI > 38 |
FFDI > 50 MFDI > 50 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | |||
| South East | F | 22 | 79 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| M | 27 | 87 | 00 | 24 | 25 | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| Fuel Type | Dist FDI | FFDI > 12 MFDI > 12 |
FFDI > 25 MFDI > 25 |
FFDI > 38 MFDI > 38 |
FFDI > 50 MFDI > 50 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | |||
| Central Plateau | F | 13 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 15 | 76 | 02 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Western | F | 13 | 39 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 20 | 37 | 00 | 24 | < 1 | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | |||||
Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Monday 19 November 2018
Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Sunday 18 November 2018.
| Regions | Time | Temp | RH | Wind (km/h) | Max T | DF | SDI | Max FDI Fuel |
Wind Change (km/h) | FFDI | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | Dir | Speed | Gust | Time | ||||||||||
| King Island | King Island Airport | 13 | 24 | 44 | ENE | 35 | 55 | 24 | 9 | 70 | F | 12 | ||||
| Furneaux Islands | Flinders Island Airport | 12 | 20 | 53 | NE | 35 | 55 | 21 | 9 | 75 | F | 8 | ||||
| North West Coast | Marrawah | 12 | 19 | 60 | ENE | 45 | 80 | 20 | 8 | 60 | F | 7 | ||||
| Smithton Airport | 13 | 19 | 64 | ENE | 40 | 65 | 19 | 9 | 65 | F | 6 | |||||
| Luncheon Hill | 13 | 18 | 59 | ENE | 35 | 65 | 19 | 7 | 25 | F | 5 | |||||
| Devonport Airport | 13 | 19 | 60 | NE | 30 | 45 | 19 | 9 | 80 | F | 5 | |||||
| Sheffield | 14 | 19 | 52 | NNE | 20 | 45 | 19 | 8 | 50 | F | 5 | |||||
| Central North | Low Head | 15 | 17 | 68 | NE | 30 | 45 | 17 | 8 | 60 | F | 3 | ||||
| Launceston | 15 | 23 | 36 | N | 20 | 45 | 23 | 9 | 85 | F | 11 | |||||
| Cressy | 16 | 23 | 36 | NNW | 25 | 45 | 23 | 9 | 75 | F | 13 | |||||
| Regions | Time | Temp | RH | Wind (km/h) | Max T | DF | SDI | Max FDI Fuel |
Wind Change (km/h) | FFDI | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | Dir | Speed | Gust | Time | ||||||||||
| North East | Scottsdale | 12 | 19 | 52 | NE | 20 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 35 | F | 4 | ||||
| Larapuna/Eddystone Point | 15 | 19 | 60 | NE | 25 | 45 | 19 | 10 | 105 | F | 5 | |||||
| East Coast | St Helens | 13 | 19 | 52 | NNE | 20 | 40 | 19 | 10 | 110 | F | 6 | ||||
| Fingal | 13 | 20 | 46 | NNE | 20 | 45 | 21 | 10 | 110 | F | 8 | |||||
| Friendly Beaches | 15 | 20 | 49 | NNE | 40 | 65 | 20 | 10 | 125 | F | 11 | |||||
| Orford | 16 | 20 | 49 | NE | 35 | 65 | 20 | 9 | 85 | F | 9 | |||||
| Midlands | Ross | 16 | 24 | 31 | NW | 30 | 50 | 24 | 9 | 70 | F | 17 | ||||
| Tunnack | 16 | 22 | 33 | N | 30 | 55 | 22 | 8 | 55 | F | 13 | |||||
| Upper Derwent Valley | Ouse | 16 | 28 | 20 | NNE | 25 | 45 | 28 | 9 | 70 | F | 26 | ||||
| Bushy Park | 16 | 28 | 17 | NNE | 25 | 45 | 28 | 10 | 100 | F | 32 | |||||
| Moogara | 16 | 24 | 20 | NNE | 25 | 40 | 24 | 10 | 100 | F | 25 | |||||
| Hollow Tree | 15 | 25 | 22 | N | 25 | 45 | 25 | 9 | 90 | F | 22 | |||||
| Regions | Time | Temp | RH | Wind (km/h) | Max T | DF | SDI | Max FDI Fuel |
Wind Change (km/h) | FFDI | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | Dir | Speed | Gust | Time | ||||||||||
| South East | Campania | 16 | 27 | 26 | NNE | 30 | 50 | 27 | 10 | 105 | F | 25 | ||||
| Hobart Airport | 15 | 26 | 34 | NE | 30 | 50 | 26 | 10 | 110 | F | 19 | |||||
| Hobart | 16 | 26 | 28 | NE | 30 | 50 | 26 | 9 | 95 | F | 21 | |||||
| Kunanyi/Mount Wellington | 16 | 16 | 36 | NE | 25 | 50 | 16 | 6 | 10 | F | 7 | |||||
| Taranna | 14 | 22 | 50 | NE | 45 | 70 | 22 | 10 | 105 | F | 13 | |||||
| Grove | 16 | 27 | 23 | NE | 20 | 45 | 27 | 9 | 95 | F | 20 | |||||
| Geeveston | 15 | 28 | 20 | NE | 20 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 70 | F | 23 | |||||
| Southport | 15 | 24 | 41 | NE | 40 | 65 | 24 | 8 | 40 | F | 14 | |||||
| Regions | Time | Temp | RH | Wind (km/h) | Max T | DF | SDI | Max FDI Fuel |
Wind Change (km/h) | FFDI | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | Dir | Speed | Gust | Time | ||||||||||
| Central Plateau | Cradle Valley | 14 | 16 | 51 | NNE | 25 | 60 | 16 | 6 | 10 | F | 4 | ||||
| Liawenee | 13 | 17 | 42 | N | 30 | 55 | 17 | 7 | 30 | F | 7 | |||||
| Lake St Clair | 13 | 21 | 35 | N | 20 | 50 | 21 | 6 | 10 | F | 7 | |||||
| Butlers Gorge | 14 | 22 | 31 | N | 20 | 40 | 22 | 6 | 20 | F | 9 | |||||
| Western | Savage River | 15 | 22 | 41 | NE | 30 | 65 | 22 | 6 | 20 | F | 8 | ||||
| Strahan | 13 | 26 | 28 | NNE | 30 | 55 | 27 | 6 | 20 | F | 14 | |||||
| Hazel Hill | 15 | 27 | 24 | N | 15 | 30 | 27 | 6 | 20 | F | 12 | |||||
| Maydena | 15 | 26 | 24 | NE | 15 | 30 | 26 | 7 | 35 | F | 13 | |||||
| Scotts Peak | 15 | 26 | 24 | N | 15 | 30 | 27 | 6 | 15 | F | 11 | |||||
| Warra | 15 | 24 | 24 | NNE | 15 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 20 | F | 10 | |||||
Note
Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.
