IDT13130
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Sunday 17 February 2019
Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Saturday 16 February 2019.
Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.
Summary
| District | District FFDI | District Rating | Percent Coverage | Fire Weather Warning |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| King Island | 4 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| Furneaux Islands | 7 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| North West Coast | 5 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| Central North | 9 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| North East | 9 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| East Coast | 11 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| Midlands | 11 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| Upper Derwent Valley | 12 | High | 15 | |
| South East | 11 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| Central Plateau | 10 | Low-Moderate | 100 | |
| Western | 3 | Low-Moderate | 100 |
* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.
* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.
Sunday
Showers developing about the west in the morning, extending to central and southern parts for a time in the afternoon and early evening. Mainly fine elsewhere. Maximum temperatures in the mid to high 20s. Light winds becoming northwesterly in the afternoon.
District Weather Elements
for Sunday 17 February 2019
Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Saturday 16 February 2019.
| District | TAL | cHaines | Prob Rain >5mm | 1500m Wind (km/h) | 3000m Wind (km/h) | Mix Height (m) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| King Island | 0 | 6 | 10 | WNW 45 | W 55 | 900 |
| Furneaux Islands | 0 | 9 | 0 | WNW 40 | WNW 50 | 900 |
| North West Coast | 0 | 7 | 20 | WNW 35 | WNW 50 | 1200 |
| Central North | 0 | 7 | 5 | WNW 35 | WNW 55 | 1300 |
| North East | 0 | 8 | < 5 | WNW 35 | WNW 55 | 1400 |
| East Coast | 0 | 5 | < 5 | NW 35 | WNW 55 | 1700 |
| Midlands | 0 | 6 | 10 | NW 25 | WNW 55 | 1700 |
| Upper Derwent Valley | 0 | 5 | < 5 | WNW 30 | WNW 60 | 2000 |
| South East | 0 | 5 | < 5 | NW 35 | WNW 60 | 1700 |
| Central Plateau | 0 | 6 | 15 | WNW 25 | WNW 55 | 2300 |
| Western | 0 | 4 | 10 | NW 45 | WNW 60 | 1500 |
Detailed District Forecast
for Sunday 17 February 2019
Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Saturday 16 February 2019.
| Fuel Type | Dist FDI | FFDI > 12 MFDI > 12 |
FFDI > 25 MFDI > 25 |
FFDI > 38 MFDI > 38 |
FFDI > 50 MFDI > 50 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | |||
| King Island | F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| M | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| Furneaux Islands | F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| M | 12 | 11 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| North West Coast | F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| M | 12 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Central North | F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| M | 13 | 25 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Fuel Type | Dist FDI | FFDI > 12 MFDI > 12 |
FFDI > 25 MFDI > 25 |
FFDI > 38 MFDI > 38 |
FFDI > 50 MFDI > 50 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | |||
| North East | F | 9 | < 1 | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 11 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| East Coast | F | 11 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 11 | 8 | 00 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Midlands | F | 11 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 14 | 37 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Upper Derwent Valley | F | 12 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 11 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Fuel Type | Dist FDI | FFDI > 12 MFDI > 12 |
FFDI > 25 MFDI > 25 |
FFDI > 38 MFDI > 38 |
FFDI > 50 MFDI > 50 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | |||
| South East | F | 11 | 7 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 12 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Fuel Type | Dist FDI | FFDI > 12 MFDI > 12 |
FFDI > 25 MFDI > 25 |
FFDI > 38 MFDI > 38 |
FFDI > 50 MFDI > 50 |
|||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | % | Start | Hours | |||
| Central Plateau | F | 10 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| M | 10 | < 1 | NA | NA | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| Western | F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| M | 16 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Sunday 17 February 2019
Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Saturday 16 February 2019.
| Regions | Time | Temp | RH | Wind (km/h) | Max T | DF | SDI | Max FDI Fuel |
Wind Change (km/h) | FFDI | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | Dir | Speed | Gust | Time | ||||||||||
| King Island | King Island Airport | 16 | 19 | 73 | WNW | 25 | 40 | 19 | 8 | 115 | F | 3 | ||||
| Furneaux Islands | Flinders Island Airport | 13 | 22 | 57 | W | 15 | 25 | 22 | 10 | 110 | F | 5 | ||||
| North West Coast | Marrawah | 11 | 18 | 68 | NW | 20 | 35 | 18 | 8 | 80 | F | 3 | ||||
| Smithton Airport | 11 | 19 | 64 | NW | 15 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 125 | F | 3 | |||||
| Luncheon Hill | 11 | 17 | 68 | WNW | 15 | 20 | 18 | 7 | 60 | F | 2 | |||||
| Devonport Airport | 13 | 21 | 60 | NNW | 20 | 35 | 21 | 10 | 135 | F | 5 | |||||
| Sheffield | 13 | 21 | 56 | N | 20 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 65 | F | 5 | |||||
| Central North | Low Head | 13 | 19 | 73 | WNW | 25 | 40 | 19 | 9 | 100 | F | 3 | ||||
| Launceston | 15 | 23 | 50 | NW | 20 | 35 | 23 | 8 | 120 | F | 6 | |||||
| Cressy | 15 | 23 | 47 | NW | 25 | 40 | 23 | 10 | 140 | F | 10 | |||||
| Regions | Time | Temp | RH | Wind (km/h) | Max T | DF | SDI | Max FDI Fuel |
Wind Change (km/h) | FFDI | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | Dir | Speed | Gust | Time | ||||||||||
| North East | Scottsdale | 13 | 22 | 53 | NW | 15 | 25 | 22 | 7 | 55 | F | 4 | ||||
| Larapuna/Eddystone Point | 14 | 22 | 57 | NNW | 25 | 40 | 22 | 10 | 115 | F | 7 | |||||
| East Coast | St Helens | 16 | 25 | 39 | NW | 25 | 40 | 25 | 9 | 95 | F | 12 | ||||
| Fingal | 16 | 25 | 36 | WNW | 15 | 25 | 25 | 10 | 110 | F | 12 | |||||
| Friendly Beaches | 14 | 22 | 60 | NE | 25 | 35 | 22 | 10 | 120 | F | 6 | |||||
| Orford | 14 | 21 | 60 | NE | 20 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 80 | F | 4 | |||||
| Midlands | Ross | 15 | 24 | 44 | NNW | 25 | 40 | 24 | 10 | 150 | F | 11 | ||||
| Tunnack | 14 | 23 | 44 | N | 20 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 95 | F | 8 | |||||
| Upper Derwent Valley | Ouse | 14 | 25 | 36 | W | 20 | 30 | 25 | 10 | 150 | F | 13 | ||||
| Bushy Park | 14 | 25 | 36 | NW | 15 | 20 | 25 | 10 | 145 | F | 12 | |||||
| Moogara | 14 | 22 | 43 | NW | 15 | 20 | 22 | 10 | 140 | F | 8 | |||||
| Hollow Tree | 14 | 24 | 38 | W | 15 | 20 | 24 | 10 | 155 | F | 11 | |||||
| Regions | Time | Temp | RH | Wind (km/h) | Max T | DF | SDI | Max FDI Fuel |
Wind Change (km/h) | FFDI | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | Dir | Speed | Gust | Time | ||||||||||
| South East | Campania | 14 | 26 | 34 | NNW | 15 | 25 | 26 | 10 | 125 | F | 13 | ||||
| Hobart Airport | 14 | 24 | 44 | NNE | 15 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 145 | F | 9 | |||||
| Hobart | 14 | 25 | 41 | NNW | 15 | 20 | 25 | 9 | 140 | F | 9 | |||||
| Kunanyi/Mount Wellington | 13 | 18 | 45 | NNW | 15 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 10 | F | 4 | |||||
| Taranna | 13 | 22 | 57 | NE | 25 | 40 | 22 | 10 | 115 | F | 7 | |||||
| Grove | 13 | 24 | 38 | NW | 10 | 20 | 25 | 10 | 145 | F | 9 | |||||
| Geeveston | 14 | 24 | 38 | WNW | 15 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 115 | F | 11 | |||||
| Southport | 12 | 22 | 50 | NE | 15 | 20 | 23 | 9 | 70 | F | 6 | |||||
| Regions | Time | Temp | RH | Wind (km/h) | Max T | DF | SDI | Max FDI Fuel |
Wind Change (km/h) | FFDI | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dir | Speed | Gust | Dir | Speed | Gust | Time | ||||||||||
| Central Plateau | Cradle Valley | 13 | 18 | 52 | N | 15 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 5 | F | 2 | ||||
| Liawenee | 12 | 20 | 37 | NNW | 15 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 70 | F | 9 | |||||
| Lake St Clair | 11 | 17 | 48 | NW | 15 | 20 | 20 | 3 | 5 | F | 2 | |||||
| Butlers Gorge | 13 | 20 | 46 | WNW | 20 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 25 | F | 4 | |||||
| Western | Savage River | 15 | 17 | 77 | NNW | 20 | 30 | 19 | 2 | 20 | F | 1 | ||||
| Strahan | 15 | 17 | 82 | N | 30 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 5 | F | 1 | |||||
| Hazel Hill | 15 | 16 | 77 | NNW | 30 | 50 | 18 | 3 | 5 | F | 1 | |||||
| Maydena | 14 | 22 | 43 | WNW | 20 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 90 | F | 8 | |||||
| Scotts Peak | 15 | 18 | 64 | NW | 25 | 40 | 19 | 2 | 10 | F | 1 | |||||
| Warra | 14 | 21 | 46 | WNW | 15 | 25 | 21 | 6 | 20 | F | 4 | |||||
Note
Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.
