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Fire Weather Forecast

IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Friday 22 January 2021

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 21 January 2021.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

District District FFDI District Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
King Island 5 Low-Moderate 100  
Furneaux Islands 9 Low-Moderate 100  
North West Coast 11 Low-Moderate 100  
Central North 17 High 67  
North East 15 High 28  
East Coast 15 High 72  
Midlands 17 High 76  
Upper Derwent Valley 11 Low-Moderate 100  
South East 12 High 17  
Central Plateau 9 Low-Moderate 100  
Western 5 Low-Moderate 100  

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.

Friday

Showers developing about the west and far south in the morning, extending to central parts in the afternoon. Fine elsewhere. Freshening northwesterly winds, shifting west to southwesterly during the afternoon and evening.

District Weather Elements
for Friday 22 January 2021

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 21 January 2021.

District TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
King Island 0 11 0 WSW 50 W 65 1000
Furneaux Islands 0 10 0 W 65 W 75 800
North West Coast 0 8 < 5 WSW 55 W 85 1600
Central North 0 8 0 WSW 35 WSW 80 2000
North East 0 9 0 W 60 W 85 1900
East Coast 0 9 < 5 W 50 W 85 2200
Midlands 0 8 < 5 W 45 W 90 2100
Upper Derwent Valley 0 6 < 5 W 60 W 105 1900
South East 0 7 < 5 W 65 W 110 1900
Central Plateau 0 7 < 5 W 50 W 95 2100
Western 0 6 15 W 55 W 90 1700

Detailed District Forecast
for Friday 22 January 2021

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 21 January 2021.

  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
King Island F 5 0     0     0     0    
M 14 37 08 9 0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands F 9 0     0     0     0    
M 26 100 09 15 15 14 5 0     0    
North West Coast F 11 6 12 2 0     0     0    
M 17 85 08 16 0     0     0    
Central North F 17 67 11 8 0     0     0    
M 18 87 10 14 1 16 0 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
North East F 15 28 10 7 0     0     0    
M 23 81 01 15 6 04 3 0     0    
East Coast F 15 72 11 7 0     0     0    
M 18 66 01 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Midlands F 17 76 10 8 0     0     0    
M 18 79 06 13 0     0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley F 11 7 11 2 0     0     0    
M 18 99 04 14 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
South East F 12 17 10 6 0     0     0    
M 24 100 01 22 8 03 12 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Central Plateau F 9 1 11 1 0     0     0    
M 17 60 01 16 0     0     0    
Western F 5 0     0     0     0    
M 21 63 00 22 4 03 5 0     0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Friday 22 January 2021

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 21 January 2021.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
King Island King Island Airport 11 19 64 WSW 20 30 20 8 45 F         3
Furneaux Islands Flinders Island Airport 15 21 60 W 35 50 21 7 40 F         5
North West Coast Marrawah 11 18 68 WSW 30 45 19 8 40 F         4
Smithton Airport 14 22 50 WSW 30 45 22 8 60 F         8
Luncheon Hill 14 20 56 WSW 25 35 20 8 45 F         5
Devonport Airport 16 24 38 W 25 35 24 9 85 F         12
Sheffield 15 23 41 WSW 25 35 23 7 40 F         8
Central North Low Head 17 22 57 WNW 35 50 22 8 60 F         7
Launceston 15 27 30 WNW 25 35 27 8 60 F         16
Cressy 14 28 27 NNW 20 25 28 10 100 F         20
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
North East Scottsdale 15 25 41 WNW 20 30 25 8 45 F         9
Larapuna/Eddystone Point 14 25 39 WNW 35 50 25 8 40 F         14
East Coast St Helens 14 27 26 WNW 20 30 27 8 40 F         16
Fingal 12 24 24 W 20 25 28 8 50 F         16
Friendly Beaches 12 26 37 SSE 15 20 28 7 30 F         8
Orford 12 25 30 W 20 30 25 8 45 F         13
Midlands Ross 14 27 26 NW 15 25 27 9 80 F         16
Tunnack 12 21 40 W 30 40 21 9 70 F         12
Upper Derwent Valley Ouse 13 22 43 W 30 40 22 10 145 F         12
Bushy Park 14 22 43 W 25 35 22 10 145 F         11
Moogara 14 17 55 W 30 40 17 10 135 F         7
Hollow Tree 14 20 49 W 30 45 20 10 135 F         9
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
South East Campania 12 24 36 W 30 40 24 10 135 F         16
Hobart Airport 14 23 38 WSW 25 35 23 8 70 F         10
Hobart 14 22 41 W 25 35 22 10 105 F         11
Kunanyi/Mount Wellington 05 6 56 W 45 65 12 5 5 F         3
Taranna 12 22 43 W 25 35 22 8 70 F         9
Grove 14 22 41 W 30 40 22 10 115 F         13
Geeveston 14 22 41 WNW 30 40 22 9 80 F         12
Southport 13 21 49 W 25 35 22 9 80 F         8
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Central Plateau Cradle Valley 15 15 63 SW 25 35 15 5 15 F         2
Liawenee 13 18 42 WSW 25 35 18 8 40 F         8
Lake St Clair 04 10 46 WNW 20 25 17 5 10 F         3
Butlers Gorge 11 15 63 W 30 45 16 6 15 F         3
Western Savage River 13 19 60 WSW 20 30 19 5 10 F         2
Strahan 02 12 62 NW 30 40 20 6 25 F         3
Hazel Hill 15 17 63 W 30 40 17 2 5 F         1
Maydena 12 18 56 W 25 35 18 9 80 F         5
Scotts Peak 13 18 56 WNW 35 50 18 4 5 F         3
Warra 04 10 43 WNW 15 25 17 6 25 F         3

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.