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Fire Weather Forecast

Weather Information - Fire Weather Forecast

The following weather related information courtesy of Australian Bureau of Meteorology
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia

IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Friday 18 January 2019

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 17 January 2019.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

District District FFDI District Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
King Island 10 Low-Moderate 100  
Furneaux Islands 8 Low-Moderate 100  
North West Coast 17 High 69  
Central North 24 Very High 10  
North East 14 High 27  
East Coast 18 High 28  
Midlands 33 Very High 30  
Upper Derwent Valley 25 Very High 10  
South East 18 High 46  
Central Plateau 21 High 60  
Western 12 High 17  

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.

Friday

Showers about the northeast and Bass Strait Islands, extending to the east from late morning and to the west, south and central areas in the evening. Isolated thunderstorms possible about the north and east, mainly in the morning and afternoon. Strengthening west to northwesterly winds, tending west to southwesterly in the evening. Sea breezes about the east. Rainfall forecasts remain uncertain for Friday.

District Weather Elements
for Friday 18 January 2019

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 17 January 2019.

District TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
King Island 1 5 < 5 W 55 WNW 85 1100
Furneaux Islands 1 6 35 WNW 70 WNW 105 700
North West Coast 1 5 < 5 W 45 WNW 85 1700
Central North 1 5 < 5 W 45 WNW 85 1700
North East 1 5 10 WNW 50 WNW 95 1500
East Coast 1 5 10 WNW 40 WNW 80 1700
Midlands 1 6 10 WNW 30 WNW 60 2300
Upper Derwent Valley 0 5 5 WNW 30 WNW 70 2500
South East 0 4 15 WNW 30 WNW 75 2200
Central Plateau 1 6 10 WNW 35 WNW 70 2700
Western 1 5 30 WNW 35 WNW 80 2000

Detailed District Forecast
for Friday 18 January 2019

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 17 January 2019.

  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
King Island F 10 0     0     0     0    
M 17 81 13 11 0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands F 8 0     0     0     0    
M 17 65 04 19 3 20 3 0     0    
North West Coast F 17 69 13 6 0     0     0    
M 19 93 12 12 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Central North F 24 70 12 10 10 14 4 0     0    
M 24 100 11 13 6 16 2 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
North East F 14 27 13 8 0     0     0    
M 22 99 10 14 1 15 2 0     0    
East Coast F 18 28 12 10 0     0     0    
M 17 63 12 12 0     0     0    
Midlands F 33 88 12 10 30 14 5 2 15 1 0    
M 22 99 12 12 6 16 3 0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley F 25 93 12 9 10 14 3 0     0    
M 22 100 12 11 2 18 1 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
South East F 18 46 12 7 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
M 22 97 12 12 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Central Plateau F 21 60 12 7 2 14 3 0     0    
M 18 95 11 12 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Western F 12 17 12 5 0     0     0    
M 19 84 10 10 < 1 NA NA 0     0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Friday 18 January 2019

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Thursday 17 January 2019.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
King Island King Island Airport 13 22 53 WSW 20 30 22 10 105 F         7
Furneaux Islands Flinders Island Airport 19 21 60 W 40 65 25 9 75 F         7
North West Coast Marrawah 13 21 56 SW 25 45 21 9 70 F         6
Smithton Airport 14 25 41 WSW 30 50 25 10 100 F         14
Luncheon Hill 14 23 38 WSW 20 35 23 9 75 F         10
Devonport Airport 18 24 44 W 40 60 25 10 110 F         16
Sheffield 17 26 34 W 30 45 26 9 70 F         17
Central North Low Head 20 22 57 W 40 65 22 9 70 F         8
Launceston 15 27 45 NW 35 55 27 10 125 F         15
Cressy 15 30 25 NW 35 55 30 10 125 F         33
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
North East Scottsdale 15 25 44 NW 30 50 25 9 70 F         11
Larapuna/Eddystone Point 17 23 57 WNW 40 65 24 9 80 F         9
East Coast St Helens 17 25 39 SW 25 45 26 9 70 F         12
Fingal 16 28 25 NE 25 40 29 9 85 F         22
Friendly Beaches 14 25 54 ESE 20 35 25 9 95 F         6
Orford 13 24 50 E 20 35 24 9 90 F         7
Midlands Ross 16 30 29 E 30 50 30 10 145 F         25
Tunnack 16 26 30 SW 25 45 27 9 75 F         17
Upper Derwent Valley Ouse 15 30 24 W 25 45 30 10 145 F         27
Bushy Park 15 30 25 WSW 25 35 29 10 155 F         26
Moogara 15 25 32 W 25 35 25 10 145 F         17
Hollow Tree 15 28 27 W 25 45 28 10 150 F         23
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
South East Campania 15 29 29 SSE 25 35 30 10 155 F         22
Hobart Airport 14 28 40 SE 35 50 28 10 160 F         18
Hobart 15 26 39 SSE 35 50 26 10 125 F         18
Kunanyi/Mount Wellington 13 18 56 WSW 15 25 18 8 40 F         4
Taranna 14 25 47 ESE 30 45 25 10 125 F         11
Grove 14 27 30 WSW 20 30 27 10 145 F         17
Geeveston 14 28 30 WNW 15 30 28 10 100 F         16
Southport 13 23 47 SE 30 50 24 8 60 F         9
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Central Plateau Cradle Valley 14 22 38 WSW 25 40 22 8 40 F         10
Liawenee 13 24 22 W 30 45 24 9 65 F         24
Lake St Clair 14 24 34 W 25 40 24 8 65 F         12
Butlers Gorge 14 23 38 W 25 40 23 8 60 F         10
Western Savage River 14 23 41 WSW 20 30 23 9 65 F         9
Strahan 15 22 57 WNW 25 40 23 9 70 F         6
Hazel Hill 15 22 43 WNW 30 45 22 8 50 F         10
Maydena 15 25 36 W 30 50 25 9 80 F         15
Scotts Peak 15 25 36 WNW 30 45 25 9 75 F         15
Warra 15 24 38 W 20 35 24 8 60 F         10

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.