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Fire Weather Forecast

IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Wednesday 21 October 2020

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 20 October 2020.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

District District FFDI District Rating Percent Coverage Fire Weather Warning
King Island 3 Low-Moderate 100  
Furneaux Islands 4 Low-Moderate 100  
North West Coast 3 Low-Moderate 100  
Central North 3 Low-Moderate 100  
North East 4 Low-Moderate 100  
East Coast 3 Low-Moderate 100  
Midlands 3 Low-Moderate 100  
Upper Derwent Valley 3 Low-Moderate 100  
South East 3 Low-Moderate 100  
Central Plateau 2 Low-Moderate 100  
Western 2 Low-Moderate 100  

* Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.

* District FDI is the representative peak FDI in the district for that fuel type. 10% of the district has a max FDI higher than this value.

* Percent Coverage is the percentage of the District that falls in or above the District Rating threshold.

Wednesday

Showers about the west and far south. Possible showers elsewhere in the morning and afternoon, although mostly fine about the Furneaux Islands. Patchy morning fog in the north. Light winds and afternoon sea breezes.

District Weather Elements
for Wednesday 21 October 2020

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 20 October 2020.

District TAL cHaines Prob Rain >5mm 1500m Wind (km/h) 3000m Wind (km/h) Mix Height (m)
King Island 0 1 < 5 W 10 W 35 1800
Furneaux Islands 0 4 < 5 NW 30 NW 40 1300
North West Coast 0 1 < 5 SW 15 WNW 25 2000
Central North 0 2 < 5 SW 10 WNW 35 1900
North East 0 4 < 5 WNW 20 WNW 35 2000
East Coast 0 1 < 5 WNW 10 WNW 35 2000
Midlands 0 1 < 5 WNW 10 WNW 30 2100
Upper Derwent Valley 0 2 < 5 WSW 15 WNW 30 2300
South East 0 2 < 5 W 15 WNW 30 2100
Central Plateau 0 1 < 5 WSW 15 WNW 25 2400
Western 0 2 10 W 15 WNW 25 2000

Detailed District Forecast
for Wednesday 21 October 2020

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 20 October 2020.

  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
King Island F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 11 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands F 4 0     0     0     0    
M 12 17 13 5 0     0     0    
North West Coast F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 10 2 12 3 0     0     0    
Central North F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 8 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
North East F 4 0     0     0     0    
M 12 11 12 5 0     0     0    
East Coast F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 8 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
Midlands F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 5 0     0     0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 5 0     0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
South East F 3 0     0     0     0    
M 9 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    
  Fuel Type Dist FDI FFDI > 12
MFDI > 12
FFDI > 25
MFDI > 25
FFDI > 38
MFDI > 38
FFDI > 50
MFDI > 50
% Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours % Start Hours
Central Plateau F 2 0     0     0     0    
M 7 0     0     0     0    
Western F 2 0     0     0     0    
M 9 < 1 NA NA 0     0     0    

Location Forecasts at Time of Maximum Forest Fire Danger
for Wednesday 21 October 2020

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 20 October 2020.

  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
King Island King Island Airport 14 15 67 W 25 40 15 6 10 F         2
Furneaux Islands Flinders Island Airport 13 16 63 WSW 20 35 16 7 25 F         3
North West Coast Marrawah 13 14 67 WSW 20 35 15 5 5 F         2
Smithton Airport 13 17 52 WSW 15 25 17 5 5 F         3
Luncheon Hill 12 14 58 SW 15 20 15 5 5 F         2
Devonport Airport 13 16 59 NNW 25 35 17 6 10 F         3
Sheffield 15 16 55 NNE 10 15 16 3 5 F         1
Central North Low Head 15 13 77 WNW 25 40 15 6 10 F         1
Launceston 13 17 52 WNW 5 10 18 6 10 F         2
Cressy 13 16 59 NNW 5 10 17 5 10 F         2
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
North East Scottsdale 13 16 51 NW 10 15 17 6 10 F         3
Larapuna/Eddystone Point 12 16 59 NW 20 35 18 5 10 F         2
East Coast St Helens 13 17 55 E 20 30 17 3 5 F         2
Fingal 13 17 48 NE 5 15 18 7 25 F         3
Friendly Beaches 11 17 55 SSW 10 20 18 4 5 F         2
Orford 13 17 52 E 15 20 17 6 10 F         3
Midlands Ross 12 14 63 NW 5 10 16 6 10 F         2
Tunnack 13 14 55 WNW 10 15 14 5 5 F         2
Upper Derwent Valley Ouse 13 16 48 WSW 10 15 17 5 5 F         3
Bushy Park 12 16 51 W 5 15 18 5 5 F         2
Moogara 11 12 62 W 10 15 14 5 5 F         1
Hollow Tree 11 14 58 W 5 10 16 5 5 F         2
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
South East Campania 14 18 45 SSW 5 15 17 5 5 F         3
Hobart Airport 13 17 55 SE 15 25 17 6 10 F         3
Hobart 12 16 55 ESE 10 15 17 6 10 F         2
Kunanyi/Mount Wellington 15 7 87 W 10 15 7 5 0 F         0
Taranna 13 17 52 WSW 5 10 18 6 15 F         2
Grove 11 16 51 WSW 10 15 17 6 10 F         3
Geeveston 13 17 48 WSW 5 15 17 5 5 F         2
Southport 11 16 55 E 10 15 17 6 10 F         2
  Regions Time Temp RH Wind (km/h) Max T DF SDI Max FDI
Fuel
Wind Change (km/h) FFDI
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed Gust Time
Central Plateau Cradle Valley 15 11 62 SW 15 25 11 4 5 F         1
Liawenee 15 11 54 SSW 15 20 11 4 5 F         2
Lake St Clair 15 11 62 WSW 15 20 12 2 5 F         1
Butlers Gorge 15 12 62 WSW 15 25 12 4 5 F         1
Western Savage River 16 15 55 SW 15 25 15 4 5 F         2
Strahan 13 15 67 W 20 35 15 5 5 F         2
Hazel Hill 15 14 72 W 15 25 14 3 5 F         1
Maydena 11 14 51 WSW 10 20 15 4 5 F         2
Scotts Peak 15 14 63 W 15 25 14 5 5 F         2
Warra 15 12 67 W 15 20 13 5 5 F         1

Note

Point locations are extracted from the forecast policy issued by the Bureau of Meteorology. They are designed to be representative of the area within the vicinity of the location but do not take into account local variations due to topography and elevation.